Financial Performance Dashboard

Plan vs Actuals Analysis with Forward-Looking Risk Assessment

Last Updated: Q4 2024

Revenue

$12.4M
Plan: $15.0M
-17.3% vs Plan
Risk Level: High

Gross Margin

68.5%
Plan: 72.0%
-3.5pp vs Plan
Risk Level: Medium

EBITDA Margin

24.3%
Plan: 28.0%
-3.7pp vs Plan
Risk Level: Medium

Operating Cash Flow

$2.1M
Plan: $3.2M
-34.4% vs Plan
Risk Level: High

Monthly Financial Performance: Plan vs Actual vs Forecast

Plan Actual Forecast

Monthly Variance Analysis

Risk Assessment & Recommendations

Current Trend Analysis

Revenue Growth Rate: -2.3% MoM
Margin Erosion Rate: -0.8% MoM
Cash Burn Rate: $450K/month

At current run rate, revenue will miss annual target by 22% ($44M vs plan of $56M)

Key Risks

  • Liquidity Risk

    Cash runway reduced to 6 months at current burn rate

  • Margin Compression

    Gross margin trending below threshold for profitability

  • Revenue Concentration

    Top 3 customers represent 65% of revenue

Strategic Recommendations

  • Implement cost reduction program targeting $2M annual savings
  • Diversify customer base - reduce top 3 concentration to <50%
  • Optimize working capital - target 15-day DSO reduction
  • Review pricing strategy to protect margins

Monthly Breakdown & Forecast

Month Plan ($M) Actual ($M) Forecast ($M) Variance ($M) Variance % Status

Forward-Looking Risk Metrics

Probability of Missing Plan

87%
+12% from last quarter

Expected Shortfall

$12.5M
At 95% confidence level

Runway (months)

6.2
Below target of 12 months

Forecast Accuracy

82%
Last 3 months average